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Pictures of promise: 10 young American moviemakers to watch

Lynn Shelton

The Seattle-based director is a leading exponent from the mumblecore, movement, a group of film-makers who make tiny-budget movies that focus on personal relationships. Her third film, Humpday, about two male friends who decide to make a porn film after a dare on a drunken night out, won the Special Jury Prize at Sundance. The 37-year-old also writes, edits and acts.

Ben and Joshua Safdie

Go Get Some Rosemary is the first film that the Safdie brothers, Ben (27) and Joshua (25), do not appear in themselves, though it is an autobiographical tale about two young boys trying to cope with their parents’ divorce. Joshua, also a successful stand-up comedian, features in several of their films, including the award-winning The Pleasure of Being Robbed, which is about a quirky young kleptomaniac called Eléonore making her way around New York, stealing grapes, cars and kittens along the way.

Ryan Fleck

Raised in California, Fleck moved to Brooklyn following his graduation from NYU. His critically acclaimed debut feature, Half Nelson, about a crack-addicted teacher going off the rails, earned its star, Ryan Gosling, an Oscar nomination. Fleck, who works with his long-term partner, producer-director Anna Boden, followed its success with the baseball drama Sugar, about a rookie player from the Dominican Republic trying to make it in the big league.

Emily Abt

Abt came to prominence with her documentary Take it from Me in 2001. Her work, including 2008’s All of Us, about the high number of black women in the South Bronx with HIV/Aids, examines social issues. Her fictional feature debut, Toe to Toe, focuses on a young black high-school student embarrassed by her poor background after she wins a scholarship to a prep school.

Miranda July

The 35-year-old artist Miranda July (main picture, above) picked up awards from Cannes to Sundance for her critically-acclaimed debut, Me and You and Everyone We Know. A writer, director, musician and actress, she’s appeared in videos for bands, written books and curated exhibitions. Her visually-playful style gave Me and You a unique look. She’s working on her second feature, Satisfaction, in which she stars.

Ramin Bahrani

The eminent critic Roger Ebert declared Ramin Bahrani “the new great American film director” on the strength of the 34-year-old’s films about the downside of the American dream: Man Push Cart, about a Pakistani rock star who is frustrated in his work as a New York coffee vendor; Chop Shop, set in Queens’ Latino community; and Goodbye Solo, which focuses on a Senegalese cab driver’s relationship with a white Southerner in North Carolina.

David Gordon Green

Martin Scorsese often says that he needs to make one for the studio and one for himself. Still, it was something of a surprise when David Gordon Green, the cerebral 34-year-old director of George Washington and Undertow, agreed to helm Pineapple Express, Judd Apatow’s 2008 stoner comedy starring Seth Rogen. In doing so, though, he defied pigeonholing and proved that he’s every bit as comfortable grappling with big-budget genre comedies as he is making movies set in depressed small-town America.

Barry Jenkins

His compelling 2008 debut, Medicine for Melancholy, a love story set in the 24 hours after a one-night-stand, had hints of Richard Linklater’s Before Sunrise and Spike Lee’s She’s Gotta Have It about it. The San Francisco-based film-maker, originally from Miami, is now hotly tipped as a director to watch out for.

Alex Holdridge

Born in the South’s film-making mecca of Austin, Texas, the 34-year-old Alex Holdridge had to wait until his third offering, In Search of a Midnight Kiss, a quirky black-and-white romance set in LA, before he was embraced outside of the festival circuit. Holdridge spent four years working on his debut film, Wrong Numbers, released in 2001, and followed it with another low-budget feature, Sexless, after he struggling to finance a big-budget remake of Wrong Numbers. He now lives in LA.

Matt Bissonnette

Almost American: born in Toronto, Bissonnette now lives and makes movies out of his adopted home in Los Angeles. His latest offering, Passenger Side (which stars his brother Joel), a black comedy featuring two siblings on a road trip in LA, confirms the promise of his two previous efforts, Looking for Leonard and Who Loves the Sun. While his first works were compared to early Hal Hartley, his most recent effort was likened to a highbrow Judd Apatow movie following its generally well-received premiere at the LA Film Festival last month.

Names to know

NL guys to really watch and projected as future monster players…..
Jason Heyward – ATL – OF – Ranked #1 – will turn 20 in August – 10HR -
37RBI – 35R – 4SB – .300 AVG – .378 OBP – .529 SLG – .906 OPS, ETA:
Summer 2010
Just got promoted and he could be in the majors this time next year.
He is compared to a Dave Parker and Willie McCovey.

Mike Stanton – Fla – OF – Ranked #2 – will turn 20 in November – 18HR
- 55RBI – 45R – 3SB – .266 AVG – .362 OBP – .526 SLG – .887 OPS, ETA:
Opening Day 2011
Will take a little longer than Heyward but he is compared to Dave
Winfield.

Madison Bumgarner – SF – SP – Ranked #5 – will turn 20 in August -
9-2, 1.63 ERA, 1.00 Ratio, 66K in 77.333 IP and has allowed only 1 HR
this year, ETA Opening Day 2011
He is projected as a left handed ace, not a #2 starter but an ace. The
Giants are loaded with arms.

Buster Posey – SF – C – Ranked #6  – 22 – 12HR – 52RBI – 57R – 6SB – .
321 AVG – .424 OBP – .531 SLG – .954 OPS, ETA: Opening Day 2010
Benjie Molina contract ends after this season and then it will be the
Buster Posey era. Think a sligthly better version of Russell Martin.
That’s Russell Martin of 2007 & 2008.

Logan Morrison – Fla – 1B – Ranked #10 – turns 22 in August – Has only
103 AB’s this year due to a wrist injury deemed a big power hitting
prospect. ETA; 1st Half 2010

Freddie Freeman – Atl – Ranked #11 – turns 20 in September – 6HR -
36RBL – 46R – 1SB – .299 AVG – .390 OBP – .442 SLG – .833 OPS, ETA
Opening Day 2011
Casey Kotchman is a short term solution

Also keep an eye out for the following:
Jarrod Parker – Arz – SP – turns 21 in November, at AA and could be up
next summer, front line starter.
Alcides Escobar – Mil – SS – turns 23 in December, top of the order
hitter with 30 SB potential. Doug Melvin believes he is ready now.
Hardy could be used to land a SP and Escobar take over now.
Yonder Alonso – Cinn – 1B – turns 23 by next opening day, middle of
the order run producer
Dominic Brown – Phil – OF – turns 22 in Sept, very athletic player
Jason Castro – Hou – C – 22 – his time is coming the have Pudge as
their starter on a 1 year deal
Brett Wallace – Stl – 3B – turns 23 in August, all-star calibar bat

Also watch out for:
Michael Taylor – Phil – OF
Kyle Drabek – Phil – SP
Tim Alderson – SF – SP
Pedro Alvarez – Pitt – 3B

Important Stats

Hitters

Strikeout Rate/Contact Rate*: 150 PA
LD%: 150 PA
Walk Rate: 200 PA
GB%: 200 PA
GB/FB: 200 PA
FB%: 250 PA
Home Run Rate: 300 PA
HR/FB: 300 PA
BABIP: Doesn’t Reach A 0.50 R-Squared At 650 Or Below.
Batting Average: Doesn’t Reach A 0.50 R-Squared At 650 Or Below. Pizza Cutter Guesses It Would Be At Around 1000 PA.

Pitchers 

K/PA: 150 BF
GB%: 150 BF
LD%: 150 BF
FB%: 200 BF
GB/FB: 200 BF
K/BB: 500 BF
IF FB%: 500 BF
BB/PA: 550 BF
BABIP: Doesn’t Reach A 0.50 R-Squared At 650 Or Below.
HR/FB: Doesn’t Reach A 0.50 R-Squared At 650 Or Below.

 

HERE

Haiku

Favorite Players Ranking

  1. Julio Franco
  2. Chipper Jones
  3. Ricky Henderson
  4. Will Clark
  5. John Smoltz
  6. Steve Avery
  7. Dontrelle Willis
  8. Dale Murphy

Bama

Chargers Steelers Football

Rankings

Hitters

BABIP above .340 :

Milton Bradley, Matt Kemp, Chipper Jones, Matt Holliday, Fred Lewis, Lance Berkman, Xavier Nady, Manny Ramirez, Kevin Youkilis, Johnny Damon, Brian Roberts, Brad Hawpe, Adam Jones, Randy Winn, Ryan Ludwick, Orlando Hudson, Joe Mauer, Ryan Theriot, B.J. Upton, Aaron Rowand, Albert Pujols, Curtis Granderson, Nick Markakis.

LD% above 23%:

Joey Votto, Ryan Ludwick, Xavier Nady, Chone Figgins, Andre Ethier, Chipper Jones, Gregor Blanco, Ian Kinsler, Brian Roberts, David DeJesus, Matt Kemp, Jose Reyes, David Wright, Milton Bradley, Miguel Tejada, Jeff Kent, Kelly Johnson, Casey Blake, Bobby Abreu, Freddy Sanchez, Brad Hawpe, Ryan Theriot.

Pitchers

BABIP below .270:

Justin Duchscherer, Tim Wakefield, Armando Galarraga, Shaun Marcum, David Bush, Joe Saunders, Gavin Floyd, Gregory Smith, Jeremy Guthrie, Cole Hamels, Tim Hudson.

HR/FB% below 8%:

Cliff Lee, Matt Cain, Mike Pelfrey, Tim Lincecum, Andy Sonnanstine, Justin Duchscherer, Ben Sheets, Jair Jurrjens, John Danks, Barry Zito, Ubaldo Jimenez, Justin Verlander, Jon Lester, Jonathan Sanchez, Matt Garza.

LOB% above 77%:

Jake Peavy, Shaun Marcum, Johan Santana, Cliff Lee, Tim Lincecum, Jeremy Guthrie, Edwin Jackson, Justin Duchscherer, CC Sabathia, Jon Lester, Edinson Volquez, Carlos Zambrano, Jamie Moyer, Joe Saunders, Chad Billingsley, John Danks.

Conclusions

These lists are only including players with qualified plate appearances or innings pitched who have had lucky seasons in some way. I am not saying these players cannot have acceptable or even good seasons next year, but you will not be getting them at a discount and are not gaining an advantage by drafting them. I will follow this list with players on the other side who have had unlucky seasons and can be expected to be drafted later than they should be.

Hitters

BABIP below .270 :

Paul Konerko, Mark Ellis, Mike Jacobs, Daric Barton, Adam Dunn, Jason Giambi, Adrian Beltre, Jeff Francoeur, Edwin Encarnacion, Khalil Greene, Kevin Millar, Ramon Hernandez, Nick Swisher, Melky Cabrera, Casey Kotchman, Ken Griffey Jr., Freddy Sanchez.

LD% below 17%:

Hunter Pence, Rickie Weeks, Mike Jacobs, J.J. Hardy, Edwin Encarnacion, Dan Uggla, Carlos Quentin, Carlos Gomez, Bobby Crosby, Michael Bourn, Delmon Young, Brandon Phillips, Prince Fielder, Jason Kendall, Torii Hunter, Jason Giambi, Adam Jones.

Pitchers

BABIP above .340:

Corrected: Ian Snell, Livan Hernandez, Nate Robertson, Carlos Silva.

HR/FB% above 13%:

Brett Myers, Roy Oswalt, Brandon Backe, Jeff Suppan, Bronson Arroyo, Johnny Cueto, Aaron Harang, Vicente Padilla, John Lannan, John Lackey.

LOB% below 69%:

Carlos Silva, Livan Hernandez, Brian Bannister, Greg Maddux, Barry Zito, Justin Verlander, Andy Sonnanstine, Derek Lowe, Hiroki Kuroda, Zach Duke, Nate Robertson, Joe Blanton, Bronson Arroyo, David Bush.

Conclusions

These lists are only including players with qualified plate appearances or innings pitched who have had unlucky seasons in some way. They aren’t guaranteed to have better seasons, but I would suggest looking for these guys. Although not all will be good even with luck on their side. (ie. Barry Zito)

Artists

Visual Artists
-Pierre Bonnard.
-Max Beckman.
-Philip Guston.
-Cindy Sherman.
-Raymond Pettibon.
-Mike Kelley.
-Jim Shaw.
-Martin Kippenberger.
-David Salle.
-Jessica Stockholder.
-Fiona Rae.
-Matthew Barney.
-Jeff Koons.
-Paul McCarthy.
-Lucian Freud.
-Robert Mapplethorpe.
-David Hammond.
-Charles Ray.
-Vanessa Beecroft.
-Ben Katchor (comics).
-Daniel Clowes (comics).

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