Hitters
BABIP above .340 :
Milton Bradley, Matt Kemp, Chipper Jones, Matt Holliday, Fred Lewis, Lance Berkman, Xavier Nady, Manny Ramirez, Kevin Youkilis, Johnny Damon, Brian Roberts, Brad Hawpe, Adam Jones, Randy Winn, Ryan Ludwick, Orlando Hudson, Joe Mauer, Ryan Theriot, B.J. Upton, Aaron Rowand, Albert Pujols, Curtis Granderson, Nick Markakis.
LD% above 23%:
Joey Votto, Ryan Ludwick, Xavier Nady, Chone Figgins, Andre Ethier, Chipper Jones, Gregor Blanco, Ian Kinsler, Brian Roberts, David DeJesus, Matt Kemp, Jose Reyes, David Wright, Milton Bradley, Miguel Tejada, Jeff Kent, Kelly Johnson, Casey Blake, Bobby Abreu, Freddy Sanchez, Brad Hawpe, Ryan Theriot.
Pitchers
BABIP below .270:
Justin Duchscherer, Tim Wakefield, Armando Galarraga, Shaun Marcum, David Bush, Joe Saunders, Gavin Floyd, Gregory Smith, Jeremy Guthrie, Cole Hamels, Tim Hudson.
HR/FB% below 8%:
Cliff Lee, Matt Cain, Mike Pelfrey, Tim Lincecum, Andy Sonnanstine, Justin Duchscherer, Ben Sheets, Jair Jurrjens, John Danks, Barry Zito, Ubaldo Jimenez, Justin Verlander, Jon Lester, Jonathan Sanchez, Matt Garza.
LOB% above 77%:
Jake Peavy, Shaun Marcum, Johan Santana, Cliff Lee, Tim Lincecum, Jeremy Guthrie, Edwin Jackson, Justin Duchscherer, CC Sabathia, Jon Lester, Edinson Volquez, Carlos Zambrano, Jamie Moyer, Joe Saunders, Chad Billingsley, John Danks.
Conclusions
These lists are only including players with qualified plate appearances or innings pitched who have had lucky seasons in some way. I am not saying these players cannot have acceptable or even good seasons next year, but you will not be getting them at a discount and are not gaining an advantage by drafting them. I will follow this list with players on the other side who have had unlucky seasons and can be expected to be drafted later than they should be.
Hitters
BABIP below .270 :
Paul Konerko, Mark Ellis, Mike Jacobs, Daric Barton, Adam Dunn, Jason Giambi, Adrian Beltre, Jeff Francoeur, Edwin Encarnacion, Khalil Greene, Kevin Millar, Ramon Hernandez, Nick Swisher, Melky Cabrera, Casey Kotchman, Ken Griffey Jr., Freddy Sanchez.
LD% below 17%:
Hunter Pence, Rickie Weeks, Mike Jacobs, J.J. Hardy, Edwin Encarnacion, Dan Uggla, Carlos Quentin, Carlos Gomez, Bobby Crosby, Michael Bourn, Delmon Young, Brandon Phillips, Prince Fielder, Jason Kendall, Torii Hunter, Jason Giambi, Adam Jones.
Pitchers
BABIP above .340:
Corrected: Ian Snell, Livan Hernandez, Nate Robertson, Carlos Silva.
HR/FB% above 13%:
Brett Myers, Roy Oswalt, Brandon Backe, Jeff Suppan, Bronson Arroyo, Johnny Cueto, Aaron Harang, Vicente Padilla, John Lannan, John Lackey.
LOB% below 69%:
Carlos Silva, Livan Hernandez, Brian Bannister, Greg Maddux, Barry Zito, Justin Verlander, Andy Sonnanstine, Derek Lowe, Hiroki Kuroda, Zach Duke, Nate Robertson, Joe Blanton, Bronson Arroyo, David Bush.
Conclusions
These lists are only including players with qualified plate appearances or innings pitched who have had unlucky seasons in some way. They aren’t guaranteed to have better seasons, but I would suggest looking for these guys. Although not all will be good even with luck on their side. (ie. Barry Zito)
